{"id":388,"date":"2018-05-02T18:58:39","date_gmt":"2018-05-02T16:58:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.wordpress.com\/?p=388"},"modified":"2018-08-20T08:19:39","modified_gmt":"2018-08-20T08:19:39","slug":"first-role-play-politicians-stance-how-certain-are-we-that-global-average-near-surface-air-temperature-has-increased-since-1850","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/?p=388","title":{"rendered":"Role-Play 1 from the Politician&#8217;s perspective"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>First Role Play: Politician&#8217;s Stance \u201cHow certain are we that global average near-surface air temperature has increased since 1850?\u201d<\/h3>\n<p>For the first role play the contributing roles were:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Mainstream climate scientists<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Climate skeptics<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Journalists<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Politicians<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">In the whole discussion the mainstream climate scientists were certain that the global temperatures have increased and are still increasing. From their perspective the rising temperature trend is unequivocal. We as &#8220;Green politicians&#8221; were also on the same line with main stream climate scientists and we were willing to take action on climate change.<\/p>\n<p>Skeptics claimed that using existing temperature data to study climate change is very uncertain. The skeptics argued that the allocation of stations that record the temperature is not appropriate. Furthermore, they argued that the stations were located near artificial or radiating heat source. Some stations were also located near waste water treatment plants. So, according to the skeptics the stations have exposure problem and this leads to an overestimate of temperature trends. Secondly, they argued that missing data also causes uncertainty.<\/p>\n<p>Climate scientists accepted that there are uncertainties involved in scientific findings and results but in this particular case of temperature increase the uncertainties are less because there are multiple lines of evidence. They also agreed that the data was really bad in past and they cannot go back in time to improve the data. They have to work with the available data. Climate scientists said that it is evident that the uncertainties associated with the data are decreasing with the passage of time with advancement in measurement techniques.<\/p>\n<p>Journalists argued that if the temperature increase is uncertain then it\u2019s not true. Additionally, they argued that scientists depend on funding to conduct their research so their data can be biased in favor of the funding organization. We as politicians argued that it\u2019s good that we know what is certain and what is uncertain so we should support scientists to improve their results in order to minimize the uncertainty. Moreover, we (politicians) argued that we are experiencing strong increase in regional temperatures than global temperatures.<\/p>\n<p>Due to the lack of time we were unable to make our final point. From our\u00a0(politician&#8217;s) perspective, a binding commitment is necessary in order to keep the global average temperature below a certain level. There should also be compensation for damages and losses associated with climate change, for example insurance of the property or areas that are at a risk of being damaged by extreme weather events.<\/p>\n<p>Overall the discussion was very interesting!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>First Role Play: Politician&#8217;s Stance \u201cHow certain are we that global average near-surface air temperature has increased since 1850?\u201d For the first role play the contributing roles were: Mainstream climate scientists Climate skeptics Journalists Politicians In the whole discussion the mainstream climate scientists were certain that the global temperatures have increased and are still increasing.<a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/?p=388\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">&#8220;Role-Play 1 from the Politician&#8217;s perspective&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":544,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[4,6,14],"class_list":["post-388","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-role-play-1","tag-homework","tag-ideas","tag-role-play"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/05\/politician.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":false,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/388","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=388"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/388\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1011,"href":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/388\/revisions\/1011"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/544"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=388"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=388"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=388"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}