{"id":4367,"date":"2026-04-29T18:41:56","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T18:41:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/?p=4367"},"modified":"2026-04-29T18:41:56","modified_gmt":"2026-04-29T18:41:56","slug":"poster-first-idea-ibolya","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/?p=4367","title":{"rendered":"Poster first idea: Ibolya"},"content":{"rendered":"<section class=\"text-token-text-primary w-full focus:outline-none [--shadow-height:45px] has-data-writing-block:pointer-events-none has-data-writing-block:-mt-(--shadow-height) has-data-writing-block:pt-(--shadow-height) [&amp;:has([data-writing-block])&gt;*]:pointer-events-auto [content-visibility:auto] supports-[content-visibility:auto]:[contain-intrinsic-size:auto_100lvh] R6Vx5W_threadScrollVars scroll-mb-[calc(var(--scroll-root-safe-area-inset-bottom,0px)+var(--thread-response-height))] scroll-mt-[calc(var(--header-height)+min(200px,max(70px,20svh)))]\" dir=\"auto\" data-turn-id=\"request-69efa25e-a880-83eb-aab9-5f8da4e99c5a-2\" data-testid=\"conversation-turn-14\" data-scroll-anchor=\"false\" data-turn=\"assistant\">\n<div class=\"text-base my-auto mx-auto pb-10 [--thread-content-margin:var(--thread-content-margin-xs,calc(var(--spacing)*4))] @w-sm\/main:[--thread-content-margin:var(--thread-content-margin-sm,calc(var(--spacing)*6))] @w-lg\/main:[--thread-content-margin:var(--thread-content-margin-lg,calc(var(--spacing)*16))] px-(--thread-content-margin)\">\n<div class=\"[--thread-content-max-width:40rem] @w-lg\/main:[--thread-content-max-width:48rem] mx-auto max-w-(--thread-content-max-width) flex-1 group\/turn-messages focus-visible:outline-hidden relative flex w-full min-w-0 flex-col agent-turn\">\n<div class=\"flex max-w-full flex-col gap-4 grow\">\n<div class=\"min-h-8 text-message relative flex w-full flex-col items-end gap-2 text-start break-words whitespace-normal outline-none keyboard-focused:focus-ring [.text-message+&amp;]:mt-1\" dir=\"auto\" data-message-author-role=\"assistant\" data-message-id=\"51eb9016-bb14-4910-b814-ebd25d652ebe\" data-message-model-slug=\"gpt-5-3\" data-turn-start-message=\"true\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-col gap-1 empty:hidden\">\n<div class=\"markdown prose dark:prose-invert w-full wrap-break-word light markdown-new-styling\">\n<p data-start=\"78\" data-end=\"448\">I\u2019m thinking of focusing my poster on something quite specific: how rural abandonment in <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Spain<\/span><\/span> is actually driving wildfire risk, and what that means for climate futures. Instead of looking at fires as just a result of higher temperatures, this idea looks at how social changes (like people leaving rural areas) are reshaping the landscape.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"450\" data-end=\"840\">When farms and grazing practices disappear, vegetation starts to grow uncontrolled. Over time, this creates a continuous layer of fuel, making it much easier for fires to spread and become more intense. There\u2019s a lot of research that connects land-use change, demographic data, and fire records to show this pattern, so it\u2019s not just a theory, it\u2019s something we can actually measure and map.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"842\" data-end=\"1202\">Even though I want to focus on a very local dynamic, this is not just a Spanish issue. Similar patterns can be found in many regions where landscapes are being abandoned or transformed. It raises a broader question: is the higher intensity and amount of wildfires really only driven by rising temperatures, or do societal changes also play a key role in shaping how, where, and why fires occur?<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1204\" data-end=\"1387\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">Thinking about climate futures from this perspective opens up a more complex picture, where environmental and human processes are constantly interacting rather than acting separately.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"z-0 flex min-h-[46px] justify-start\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"mt-3 w-full empty:hidden\">\n<div class=\"text-center\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<div class=\"pointer-events-none -mt-px h-px translate-y-[calc(var(--scroll-root-safe-area-inset-bottom)-14*var(--spacing))]\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I\u2019m thinking of focusing my poster on something quite specific: how rural abandonment in Spain is actually driving wildfire risk, and what that means for climate futures. Instead of looking at fires as just a result of higher temperatures, this idea looks at how social changes (like people leaving rural areas) are reshaping the landscape.<a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/?p=4367\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">&#8220;Poster first idea: Ibolya&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":204,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4367","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-no-category-set"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4367","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/204"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4367"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4367\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4369,"href":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4367\/revisions\/4369"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4367"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4367"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/uncertain2degrees.blogs.uni-hamburg.de\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4367"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}